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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.32+2.93vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.94+1.09vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.02+1.51vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.46-0.31vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.21-0.77vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.04-1.31vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-1.83+0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-3.16+1.97vs Predicted
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9Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-2.10vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-2.31-1.22vs Predicted
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11Unknown School-2.56-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Jacksonville University0.3214.1%1st Place
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3.09Jacksonville University0.9425.2%1st Place
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4.51University of Miami0.0210.5%1st Place
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3.69University of South Florida0.4618.1%1st Place
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4.23University of Miami0.2113.6%1st Place
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4.69Rollins College-0.0410.0%1st Place
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7.06Embry-Riddle University-1.832.9%1st Place
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9.97University of Central Florida-3.160.5%1st Place
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6.9Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.113.2%1st Place
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8.78Florida Institute of Technology-2.311.1%1st Place
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9.13Unknown School-2.560.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Mason Mattice | 14.1% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Darby Smith | 25.2% | 21.4% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Harrison Vanderground | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Zach O'connor | 18.1% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Christopher McCollum | 13.6% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Milo Fleming | 10.0% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Timothy Dolan | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 22.6% | 18.8% | 8.9% | 2.3% |
Ashley Flanagan | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 11.7% | 21.8% | 53.8% |
Nathan Hjort | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 17.8% | 22.9% | 16.4% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
Aaron Lukowski | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 12.4% | 24.1% | 29.3% | 16.2% |
Rajshibhu Pandey | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 19.7% | 30.3% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.