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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.63+2.78vs Predicted
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2Washington College3.65+1.80vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia1.83+5.53vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.73+2.10vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University0.80+6.46vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-2.85vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.79-1.07vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College2.88-2.49vs Predicted
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9Princeton University1.74-0.20vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-0.14+3.51vs Predicted
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11Villanova University1.80-2.34vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.61-2.89vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University0.98-2.10vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.10-0.66vs Predicted
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15Drexel University1.75-6.20vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-0.77-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of Pennsylvania3.630.2%1st Place
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3.8Washington College3.650.2%1st Place
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8.53University of Virginia1.830.0%1st Place
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6.1Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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11.46Rutgers University0.800.0%1st Place
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3.15St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.3%1st Place
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5.93U. S. Naval Academy2.790.1%1st Place
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5.51Ocean County College2.880.1%1st Place
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8.8Princeton University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.51Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
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8.66Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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9.11Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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10.9Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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13.34University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.100.0%1st Place
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8.8Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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14.64Columbia University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halsey Richartz | 19.1% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 18.4% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Gill | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Sachs | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ross Nuechterlein | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 18.0% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 3.7% |
| Fletcher Sims | 25.4% | 21.0% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Allsopp | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Marzulli | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Snyder | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 18.6% | 27.1% | 22.5% |
| Andrew Sayre | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Victoria Miller | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Paul Luisi | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
| Byron Bell | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 18.5% | 25.8% | 18.5% |
| Joan Boyle | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ben Barczewski | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 10.4% | 21.2% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.