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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.89+1.25vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.82-0.48vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.75+0.70vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.03-0.99vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-2.15-0.99vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.75-3.30vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.91-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25North Carolina State University0.890.2%1st Place
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1.52University of Miami1.820.6%1st Place
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3.7Virginia Tech-0.750.1%1st Place
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3.01SUNY Stony Brook0.030.1%1st Place
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5.01University of Maryland-2.150.0%1st Place
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3.7Virginia Tech-0.750.1%1st Place
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5.52Catholic University of America-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Thompson | 23.4% | 40.3% | 26.1% | 8.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 61.4% | 27.0% | 10.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Alexander | 5.4% | 8.5% | 20.3% | 45.0% | 18.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 8.7% | 21.2% | 37.3% | 26.7% | 5.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mercilliott | 0.7% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 12.5% | 48.7% | 31.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Alexander | 5.4% | 8.5% | 20.3% | 45.0% | 18.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mortin | 0.4% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 5.7% | 25.7% | 65.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.