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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.89+1.26vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.82-1.48vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-2.15+0.90vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.03-2.00vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.75-2.21vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.75-3.21vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.91-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26North Carolina State University0.890.2%1st Place
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1.52University of Miami1.820.6%1st Place
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4.9University of Maryland-2.150.0%1st Place
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3.0SUNY Stony Brook0.030.1%1st Place
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3.79Virginia Tech-0.750.0%1st Place
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3.79Virginia Tech-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.52Catholic University of America-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Thompson | 23.5% | 39.5% | 26.3% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 61.9% | 26.5% | 9.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mercilliott | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 13.1% | 50.2% | 27.8% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 8.9% | 20.7% | 38.8% | 25.7% | 5.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Alexander | 3.7% | 9.0% | 19.8% | 43.6% | 19.6% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Alexander | 3.7% | 9.0% | 19.8% | 43.6% | 19.6% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mortin | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 6.6% | 23.0% | 67.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.