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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.89+1.24vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.82-1.48vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.03-1.01vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.75-1.26vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.75-2.26vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.91-1.48vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-2.15-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24North Carolina State University0.890.2%1st Place
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1.52University of Miami1.820.6%1st Place
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2.99SUNY Stony Brook0.030.1%1st Place
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3.74Virginia Tech-0.750.0%1st Place
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3.74Virginia Tech-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.52Catholic University of America-2.910.0%1st Place
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4.98University of Maryland-2.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Thompson | 23.5% | 41.2% | 24.8% | 8.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 59.9% | 29.2% | 9.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 10.9% | 18.0% | 39.5% | 25.3% | 5.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Alexander | 4.6% | 8.5% | 19.8% | 45.5% | 18.4% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Alexander | 4.6% | 8.5% | 19.8% | 45.5% | 18.4% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mortin | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 6.3% | 22.3% | 67.7% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mercilliott | 0.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 12.9% | 51.9% | 28.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.