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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.82+0.54vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.89+0.23vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.75+0.68vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.03-0.97vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.75-2.32vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-2.15-2.00vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.91-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54University of Miami1.820.6%1st Place
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2.23North Carolina State University0.890.2%1st Place
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3.68Virginia Tech-0.750.1%1st Place
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3.03SUNY Stony Brook0.030.1%1st Place
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3.68Virginia Tech-0.750.1%1st Place
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5.0University of Maryland-2.150.0%1st Place
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5.52Catholic University of America-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Magno | 60.0% | 27.8% | 10.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 24.7% | 39.9% | 24.7% | 9.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Alexander | 5.4% | 9.7% | 19.8% | 44.2% | 18.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 8.9% | 19.1% | 38.8% | 27.0% | 5.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Alexander | 5.4% | 9.7% | 19.8% | 44.2% | 18.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mercilliott | 0.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 12.2% | 48.3% | 31.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mortin | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 5.8% | 25.8% | 65.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.