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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.94+2.06vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.21+2.18vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.46+0.72vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.32-0.02vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.04-0.28vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-1.83+1.03vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-2.56+2.18vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.02-3.53vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-3.16+0.91vs Predicted
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10Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-3.04vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-2.31-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Jacksonville University0.9424.4%1st Place
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4.18University of Miami0.2113.3%1st Place
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3.72University of South Florida0.4616.7%1st Place
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3.98Jacksonville University0.3213.6%1st Place
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4.72Rollins College-0.0410.2%1st Place
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7.03Embry-Riddle University-1.833.6%1st Place
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9.18Unknown School-2.561.1%1st Place
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4.47University of Miami0.0212.2%1st Place
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9.91University of Central Florida-3.160.5%1st Place
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6.96Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.113.1%1st Place
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8.81Florida Institute of Technology-2.311.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darby Smith | 24.4% | 22.2% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher McCollum | 13.3% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zach O'connor | 16.7% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Mattice | 13.6% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Milo Fleming | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Dolan | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 21.8% | 18.9% | 8.6% | 2.5% |
| Rajshibhu Pandey | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 10.4% | 18.1% | 30.6% | 26.6% |
| Harrison Vanderground | 12.2% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Flanagan | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 11.8% | 23.4% | 51.2% |
| Nathan Hjort | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 21.9% | 18.1% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
| Aaron Lukowski | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 12.1% | 24.0% | 28.1% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.