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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.46+2.73vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.02+2.57vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.94-0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.21+0.14vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-1.83+2.11vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.32-2.02vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.04-2.32vs Predicted
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8Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-1.08vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-2.56+0.17vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-2.31-1.19vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-3.16-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73University of South Florida0.4616.8%1st Place
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4.57University of Miami0.0211.6%1st Place
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2.95Jacksonville University0.9426.5%1st Place
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4.14University of Miami0.2112.9%1st Place
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7.11Embry-Riddle University-1.833.2%1st Place
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3.98Jacksonville University0.3214.1%1st Place
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4.68Rollins College-0.049.4%1st Place
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6.92Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.112.9%1st Place
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9.17Unknown School-2.560.8%1st Place
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8.81Florida Institute of Technology-2.311.0%1st Place
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9.93University of Central Florida-3.160.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach O'connor | 16.8% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Vanderground | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Darby Smith | 26.5% | 21.9% | 18.1% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher McCollum | 12.9% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 16.4% | 22.1% | 18.6% | 9.8% | 2.3% |
| Mason Mattice | 14.1% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Milo Fleming | 9.4% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Hjort | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 16.9% | 23.1% | 18.1% | 7.5% | 1.6% |
| Rajshibhu Pandey | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 19.7% | 31.1% | 25.4% |
| Aaron Lukowski | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 12.0% | 24.6% | 27.7% | 17.1% |
| Ashley Flanagan | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 22.2% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.