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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.92vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo2.44+2.75vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.65+4.02vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University1.49+3.56vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.65+2.02vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University2.21-0.37vs Predicted
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7Princeton University1.09+1.71vs Predicted
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8Penn State University1.35-0.41vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.30-1.04vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.20-6.72vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-0.16+0.56vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.56-4.66vs Predicted
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13Queen's University1.28-4.92vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland0.86-4.91vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology-1.88-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.3%1st Place
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4.75University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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7.02Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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7.56Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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7.02Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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5.63Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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8.71Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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7.59Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.96Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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3.28Old Dominion University3.200.2%1st Place
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11.56University of Delaware-0.160.0%1st Place
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7.34Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
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8.08Queen's University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.09University of Maryland0.860.0%1st Place
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13.5Stevens Institute of Technology-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 28.9% | 23.2% | 17.3% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 11.7% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Whitaker | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 23.4% | 20.4% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Berke | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 40.7% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sherar | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Thomas | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Racaniello | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 11.0% | 80.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.