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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo2.44+3.91vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.21+3.32vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.65+4.03vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland0.86+5.24vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.65+2.03vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-3.03vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.20-3.69vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.56-0.96vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.30-1.03vs Predicted
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10Penn State University1.35-2.05vs Predicted
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11Princeton University1.09-2.30vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-0.16-0.45vs Predicted
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13Queen's University1.28-4.90vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University1.49-6.59vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology-1.88-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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5.32Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.03Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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9.24University of Maryland0.860.0%1st Place
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7.03Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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2.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.3%1st Place
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3.31Old Dominion University3.200.2%1st Place
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7.04Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
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7.97Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.95Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.7Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Delaware-0.160.0%1st Place
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8.1Queen's University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.41Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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13.51Stevens Institute of Technology-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Orr | 10.4% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Thomas | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 26.3% | 24.8% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 23.5% | 17.8% | 18.5% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Whitaker | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Berke | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 42.4% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sherar | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Racaniello | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 11.3% | 80.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.