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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.20+2.23vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+0.83vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo2.44+1.91vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland0.86+5.25vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.56+2.39vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.65+1.15vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.30+0.75vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University1.49-0.56vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.28-0.91vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University2.21-4.49vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech1.65-3.85vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-0.16-0.45vs Predicted
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13Princeton University1.09-4.41vs Predicted
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14Penn State University1.35-6.18vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology-1.88-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23Old Dominion University3.200.2%1st Place
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2.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.3%1st Place
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4.91University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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9.25University of Maryland0.860.0%1st Place
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7.39Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
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7.15Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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7.75Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.44Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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8.09Queen's University1.280.0%1st Place
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5.51Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.15Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Delaware-0.160.0%1st Place
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8.59Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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7.82Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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13.49Stevens Institute of Technology-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel LOCHNER | 23.1% | 23.3% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 29.3% | 22.4% | 19.1% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 9.6% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Thomas | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sherar | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Berke | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 43.5% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Whitaker | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 7.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Racaniello | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 11.5% | 79.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.