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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo2.44+3.87vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+0.82vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.65+4.02vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.20-0.74vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.30+3.10vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.65+1.02vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-0.16+4.53vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland0.86+0.95vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University2.21-3.45vs Predicted
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10Queen's University1.28-1.90vs Predicted
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11Princeton University1.09-2.34vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University1.49-4.45vs Predicted
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13Penn State University1.35-5.08vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.56-6.84vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology-1.88-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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2.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.3%1st Place
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7.02Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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3.26Old Dominion University3.200.2%1st Place
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8.1Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.02Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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11.53University of Delaware-0.160.0%1st Place
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8.95University of Maryland0.860.0%1st Place
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5.55Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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8.1Queen's University1.280.0%1st Place
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8.66Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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7.55Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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7.92Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.16Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
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13.52Stevens Institute of Technology-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Orr | 9.7% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 30.0% | 22.4% | 17.5% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 21.8% | 22.4% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Berke | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 42.5% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Thomas | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sherar | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Whitaker | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 7.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Racaniello | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 10.7% | 81.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.