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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo2.44+3.89vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+0.84vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.20+0.18vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.09+4.61vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.21+0.61vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.65+1.16vs Predicted
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7Penn State University1.35+0.61vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech1.65-0.84vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University1.49-1.61vs Predicted
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10Queen's University1.28-1.86vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.56-3.60vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.30-3.96vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland0.86-3.79vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology-1.88-0.53vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-0.16-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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2.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.3%1st Place
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3.18Old Dominion University3.200.2%1st Place
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8.61Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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5.61Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.16Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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7.61Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.16Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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7.39Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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8.14Queen's University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.4Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
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8.04Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Maryland0.860.0%1st Place
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13.47Stevens Institute of Technology-1.880.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Delaware-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Orr | 10.7% | 11.4% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 29.1% | 23.9% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 23.6% | 23.2% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Whitaker | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sherar | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Thomas | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Racaniello | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 8.6% | 81.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Berke | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 42.9% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.