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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.65+5.95vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.65+4.95vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.20+0.12vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo2.44+0.91vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.56+2.31vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-3.01vs Predicted
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7Princeton University1.09+1.72vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University2.21-2.71vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University1.49-1.58vs Predicted
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10Queen's University1.28-1.88vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.30-2.88vs Predicted
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12Penn State University1.35-4.10vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland0.86-3.78vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-0.16-2.59vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology-1.88-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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6.95Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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3.12Old Dominion University3.200.3%1st Place
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4.91University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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7.31Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
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2.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.2%1st Place
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8.72Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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5.29Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.42Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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8.12Queen's University1.280.0%1st Place
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8.12Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.9Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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9.22University of Maryland0.860.0%1st Place
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11.41University of Delaware-0.160.0%1st Place
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13.51Stevens Institute of Technology-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Price | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 25.5% | 21.4% | 17.7% | 14.3% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 10.5% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 24.1% | 25.2% | 18.9% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Whitaker | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sherar | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Thomas | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Berke | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 41.1% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Racaniello | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 9.9% | 81.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.