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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.21+4.50vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.65+4.84vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo2.44+1.89vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.20-0.74vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-2.08vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.65+0.84vs Predicted
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7Princeton University1.09+1.75vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University1.49-0.76vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.30-1.06vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland0.86-0.71vs Predicted
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11Queen's University1.28-2.79vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.56-4.64vs Predicted
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13Penn State University1.35-5.11vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-0.16-2.58vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology-1.88-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.84Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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4.89University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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3.26Old Dominion University3.200.2%1st Place
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2.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.3%1st Place
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6.84Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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8.75Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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7.24Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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7.94Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Maryland0.860.0%1st Place
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8.21Queen's University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.36Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
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7.89Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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11.42University of Delaware-0.160.0%1st Place
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13.51Stevens Institute of Technology-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Powers | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 23.0% | 19.6% | 20.7% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 27.8% | 22.7% | 18.5% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Whitaker | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Thomas | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 12.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sherar | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Berke | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 13.8% | 42.0% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Racaniello | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 9.8% | 81.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.