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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.91+2.75vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.21+3.27vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.21vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.56+3.25vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.65+2.11vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo2.44-1.04vs Predicted
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7Penn State University1.35+0.55vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University1.49-0.63vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech1.65-1.89vs Predicted
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10Queen's University1.28-1.88vs Predicted
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11Princeton University1.09-2.32vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.30-3.96vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland0.86-3.79vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology-1.88-0.54vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-0.16-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Old Dominion University2.910.2%1st Place
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5.27Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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2.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.3%1st Place
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7.25Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
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7.11Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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4.96University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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7.55Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.37Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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7.11Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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8.12Queen's University1.280.0%1st Place
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8.68Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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8.04Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Maryland0.860.0%1st Place
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13.46Stevens Institute of Technology-1.880.0%1st Place
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11.43University of Delaware-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph David | 18.5% | 19.6% | 16.5% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 30.9% | 23.6% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 10.9% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sherar | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Whitaker | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Thomas | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Racaniello | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 8.4% | 82.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Berke | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 14.4% | 42.2% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.