← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University-0.27+3.45vs Predicted
-
2University of South Carolina-0.11+2.24vs Predicted
-
3Clemson University0.52-0.02vs Predicted
-
4Duke University0.06-0.04vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina-0.92+0.84vs Predicted
-
6The Citadel-0.27-1.46vs Predicted
-
7-2.02+1.31vs Predicted
-
8Georgia Institute of Technology-0.56-1.54vs Predicted
-
9Auburn University-2.06-1.62vs Predicted
-
10University of Tennessee-1.90-1.93vs Predicted
-
11University of Georgia-3.14-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.45North Carolina State University-0.2712.5%1st Place
-
4.24University of South Carolina-0.1113.4%1st Place
-
2.98Clemson University0.5225.1%1st Place
-
3.96Duke University0.0616.3%1st Place
-
5.84University of North Carolina-0.926.5%1st Place
-
4.54The Citadel-0.2712.7%1st Place
-
8.31-2.022.0%1st Place
-
6.46Georgia Institute of Technology-0.565.1%1st Place
-
7.38Auburn University-2.063.8%1st Place
-
8.07University of Tennessee-1.901.8%1st Place
-
9.77University of Georgia-3.140.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Lubliner | 12.5% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Molly Loring | 13.4% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Adams | 25.1% | 24.7% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 16.3% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emma Gumny | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 12.7% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jim Wang | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 25.1% | 16.5% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 3.4% |
| Liam Dunn | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 18.9% | 18.2% | 6.3% |
| Kyle Shrewsbury | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 18.4% | 22.7% | 12.8% |
| Jack Whittemore | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 59.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.