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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+1.95vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.18+2.03vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.35+3.04vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute2.15+0.27vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.29+1.30vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University2.24-1.89vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech1.35-0.96vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland0.87-1.03vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.47-3.29vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo0.75-2.44vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.29-1.33vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-1.71-0.27vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-0.22-3.50vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-2.75-1.28vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology-3.61-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.3%1st Place
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4.03Old Dominion University2.180.2%1st Place
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6.04Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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4.27Webb Institute2.150.1%1st Place
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6.3Queen's University1.290.0%1st Place
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4.11Christopher Newport University2.240.2%1st Place
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6.04Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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6.97University of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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5.71Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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7.56University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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9.67Princeton University-0.290.0%1st Place
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11.73University of Delaware-1.710.0%1st Place
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9.5Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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12.72Penn State University-2.750.0%1st Place
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13.44Stevens Institute of Technology-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Neubelt | 28.2% | 22.8% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Baird | 15.3% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Reiss | 12.0% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Aulthouse | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 15.1% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Hayes | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 19.8% | 29.7% | 14.6% | 3.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calyn O'Connell | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 12.3% | 42.4% | 26.1% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 12.6% | 19.4% | 27.8% | 12.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jessie Miller | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 16.8% | 45.5% | 27.4% | 0.0% |
| Chris Oczeretko | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 8.1% | 21.7% | 66.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.