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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.35+5.03vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland0.87+5.09vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute2.15+1.21vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-1.04vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.18-0.76vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.35+0.03vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.24-2.88vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.47-2.40vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo0.75-1.56vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-1.71+1.65vs Predicted
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11Queen's University1.29-4.72vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-0.22-2.48vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.29-3.35vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology-3.61-0.56vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-2.75-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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4.21Webb Institute2.150.1%1st Place
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2.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.3%1st Place
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4.24Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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6.03Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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4.12Christopher Newport University2.240.2%1st Place
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5.6Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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7.44University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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11.65University of Delaware-1.710.0%1st Place
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6.28Queen's University1.290.1%1st Place
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9.52Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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9.65Princeton University-0.290.0%1st Place
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13.44Stevens Institute of Technology-3.610.0%1st Place
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12.77Penn State University-2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McKay Hanna | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Reiss | 14.8% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 27.5% | 23.5% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Baird | 12.2% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 16.5% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calyn O'Connell | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 13.7% | 43.6% | 23.5% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Aulthouse | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 20.4% | 27.9% | 13.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Hayes | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 19.3% | 29.0% | 14.6% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Oczeretko | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 7.2% | 20.6% | 68.4% | 0.0% |
| Jessie Miller | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 5.2% | 14.7% | 50.4% | 25.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.