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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.18+3.17vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.24+1.93vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute2.15+1.22vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.29+2.22vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo0.75+2.53vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-3.00vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech1.35-1.12vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland0.87-0.86vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.47-3.13vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech1.35-4.12vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-1.71+0.69vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.29-2.35vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-0.22-3.48vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-2.75-1.28vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology-3.61-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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3.93Christopher Newport University2.240.2%1st Place
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4.22Webb Institute2.150.1%1st Place
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6.22Queen's University1.290.1%1st Place
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7.53University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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3.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.3%1st Place
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5.88Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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7.14University of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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5.87Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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5.88Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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11.69University of Delaware-1.710.0%1st Place
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9.65Princeton University-0.290.0%1st Place
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9.52Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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12.72Penn State University-2.750.0%1st Place
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13.45Stevens Institute of Technology-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Baird | 13.9% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 16.3% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Reiss | 14.8% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Aulthouse | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 26.5% | 22.3% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 8.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calyn O'Connell | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 13.4% | 43.6% | 23.1% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Hayes | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 19.8% | 28.7% | 15.3% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 12.7% | 20.6% | 27.1% | 12.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jessie Miller | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 16.2% | 47.5% | 26.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Oczeretko | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 7.3% | 23.4% | 65.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.