← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute2.15+3.22vs Predicted
-
2Virginia Tech1.35+3.90vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University2.24+1.00vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University2.18+0.20vs Predicted
-
5University of Buffalo0.75+2.58vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-2.98vs Predicted
-
7Virginia Tech1.35-1.10vs Predicted
-
8Queen's University1.29-1.97vs Predicted
-
9University of Maryland0.87-1.84vs Predicted
-
10Columbia University1.47-4.13vs Predicted
-
11Princeton University-0.29-1.34vs Predicted
-
12Syracuse University-0.22-2.52vs Predicted
-
13University of Delaware-1.71-1.30vs Predicted
-
14Penn State University-2.75-1.27vs Predicted
-
15Stevens Institute of Technology-3.61-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.22Webb Institute2.150.1%1st Place
-
5.9Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
-
4.0Christopher Newport University2.240.2%1st Place
-
4.2Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
-
7.58University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
-
3.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.3%1st Place
-
5.9Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
-
6.03Queen's University1.290.1%1st Place
-
7.16University of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
-
5.87Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
-
9.66Princeton University-0.290.0%1st Place
-
9.48Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
-
11.7University of Delaware-1.710.0%1st Place
-
12.73Penn State University-2.750.0%1st Place
-
13.45Stevens Institute of Technology-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Reiss | 13.1% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 16.6% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Baird | 14.1% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 27.2% | 20.5% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Aulthouse | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 8.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Hayes | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 12.9% | 19.9% | 25.8% | 16.4% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 19.6% | 28.3% | 12.6% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Calyn O'Connell | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 14.6% | 41.7% | 24.7% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Jessie Miller | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 16.3% | 46.2% | 27.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Oczeretko | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 7.3% | 22.7% | 66.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.