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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.18+3.15vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute2.15+2.12vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland0.87+4.12vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-0.99vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.35+1.19vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University2.24-1.88vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.47-1.40vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo0.75-0.60vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.29+0.64vs Predicted
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10Queen's University1.29-3.75vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech1.35-4.81vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-0.22-2.50vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-1.71-1.28vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-2.75-1.27vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology-3.61-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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4.12Webb Institute2.150.1%1st Place
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7.12University of Maryland0.870.1%1st Place
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3.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.3%1st Place
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6.19Virginia Tech1.350.0%1st Place
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4.12Christopher Newport University2.240.2%1st Place
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5.6Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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7.4University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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9.64Princeton University-0.290.0%1st Place
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6.25Queen's University1.290.1%1st Place
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6.19Virginia Tech1.350.0%1st Place
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9.5Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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11.72University of Delaware-1.710.0%1st Place
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12.73Penn State University-2.750.0%1st Place
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13.45Stevens Institute of Technology-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Baird | 14.9% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Reiss | 13.7% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 6.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 26.6% | 22.0% | 17.4% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 15.9% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 9.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Hayes | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 21.4% | 29.1% | 13.9% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Aulthouse | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 19.9% | 27.2% | 13.7% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Calyn O'Connell | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 12.6% | 45.1% | 23.8% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Jessie Miller | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 6.0% | 16.0% | 46.4% | 27.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Oczeretko | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 6.2% | 23.4% | 66.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.