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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+1.94vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland0.87+4.99vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.18+1.15vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo0.75+3.52vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.35+1.16vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University2.24-1.84vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute2.15-2.90vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.29-1.86vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.47-3.17vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech1.35-3.84vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.29-1.36vs Predicted
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12Stevens Institute of Technology-3.61+1.51vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-0.22-3.48vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-1.71-2.40vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-2.75-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.3%1st Place
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6.99University of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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4.15Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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7.52University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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6.16Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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4.16Christopher Newport University2.240.1%1st Place
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4.1Webb Institute2.150.2%1st Place
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6.14Queen's University1.290.1%1st Place
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5.83Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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6.16Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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9.64Princeton University-0.290.0%1st Place
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13.51Stevens Institute of Technology-3.610.0%1st Place
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9.52Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Delaware-1.710.0%1st Place
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12.74Penn State University-2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Neubelt | 28.5% | 21.6% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Baird | 14.5% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 8.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 14.1% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Reiss | 15.8% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Aulthouse | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Hayes | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 19.6% | 27.6% | 15.1% | 3.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Oczeretko | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 6.8% | 20.0% | 69.5% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 21.3% | 25.6% | 14.0% | 3.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calyn O'Connell | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 15.1% | 40.0% | 26.3% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Jessie Miller | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 4.8% | 18.9% | 46.3% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.