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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.29+5.16vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.18+2.09vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo0.75+4.39vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-1.20vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.35+1.19vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.47-0.12vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.24-3.03vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland0.87-0.87vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute2.15-4.62vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-0.22-0.51vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech1.35-4.81vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.29-2.38vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-1.71-1.28vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-2.75-1.26vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology-3.61-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Queen's University1.290.1%1st Place
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4.09Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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7.39University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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2.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.3%1st Place
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6.19Virginia Tech1.350.0%1st Place
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5.88Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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3.97Christopher Newport University2.240.2%1st Place
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7.13University of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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4.38Webb Institute2.150.1%1st Place
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9.49Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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6.19Virginia Tech1.350.0%1st Place
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9.62Princeton University-0.290.0%1st Place
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11.72University of Delaware-1.710.0%1st Place
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12.74Penn State University-2.750.0%1st Place
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13.44Stevens Institute of Technology-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Aulthouse | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Baird | 14.7% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 8.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 29.4% | 22.9% | 17.3% | 13.8% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 4.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 16.1% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Reiss | 13.0% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 12.6% | 21.2% | 25.4% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 4.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Hayes | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 17.7% | 30.1% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Calyn O'Connell | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 13.6% | 42.8% | 24.5% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessie Miller | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 4.8% | 16.5% | 46.3% | 27.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Oczeretko | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 7.3% | 22.6% | 66.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.