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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+1.76vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.35+3.90vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.18+1.20vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.29+2.26vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.24-0.85vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute2.15-1.69vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland0.87+0.04vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-0.22+1.37vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo0.75-1.42vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.47-4.14vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech1.35-5.10vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.29-2.32vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-2.75-0.21vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-1.71-2.34vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology-3.61-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.3%1st Place
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5.9Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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4.2Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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6.26Queen's University1.290.0%1st Place
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4.15Christopher Newport University2.240.1%1st Place
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4.31Webb Institute2.150.1%1st Place
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7.04University of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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9.37Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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7.58University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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5.86Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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5.9Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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9.68Princeton University-0.290.0%1st Place
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12.79Penn State University-2.750.0%1st Place
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11.66University of Delaware-1.710.0%1st Place
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13.46Stevens Institute of Technology-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Bates | 32.1% | 22.4% | 17.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Baird | 13.8% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Aulthouse | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 12.4% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Reiss | 13.4% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 7.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 17.4% | 26.9% | 14.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 15.6% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Hayes | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 21.0% | 30.0% | 15.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jessie Miller | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 16.6% | 46.7% | 27.3% | 0.0% |
| Calyn O'Connell | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 13.3% | 41.3% | 24.3% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Chris Oczeretko | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 6.6% | 23.7% | 65.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.