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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.35+5.04vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.18+2.07vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute2.15+1.24vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-1.23vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.29+1.39vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.35+0.04vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.47-1.11vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland0.87-1.02vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo0.75-1.57vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University2.24-5.85vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-0.22-1.49vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.29-2.38vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-1.71-1.28vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-2.75-1.26vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology-3.61-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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4.07Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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4.24Webb Institute2.150.1%1st Place
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2.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.3%1st Place
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6.39Queen's University1.290.0%1st Place
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6.04Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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5.89Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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6.98University of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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7.43University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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4.15Christopher Newport University2.240.1%1st Place
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9.51Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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9.62Princeton University-0.290.0%1st Place
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11.72University of Delaware-1.710.0%1st Place
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12.74Penn State University-2.750.0%1st Place
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13.45Stevens Institute of Technology-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McKay Hanna | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Baird | 14.4% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Reiss | 14.6% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 31.0% | 22.6% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Aulthouse | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 14.3% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 13.4% | 21.1% | 25.5% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Hayes | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 19.6% | 29.7% | 13.5% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Calyn O'Connell | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 13.1% | 42.8% | 24.6% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessie Miller | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 16.4% | 46.3% | 27.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Oczeretko | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 7.4% | 22.7% | 66.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.