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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.18+3.19vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+0.68vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.35+3.04vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo0.75+3.54vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.24-0.86vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute2.15-1.65vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland0.87-0.02vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.29-1.84vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech1.35-2.96vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.47-4.16vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-0.22-1.44vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.29-2.35vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology-3.61+0.49vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-2.75-1.24vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-1.71-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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2.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.3%1st Place
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6.04Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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7.54University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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4.14Christopher Newport University2.240.1%1st Place
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4.35Webb Institute2.150.1%1st Place
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6.98University of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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6.16Queen's University1.290.1%1st Place
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6.04Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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5.84Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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9.56Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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9.65Princeton University-0.290.0%1st Place
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13.49Stevens Institute of Technology-3.610.0%1st Place
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12.76Penn State University-2.750.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Delaware-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Baird | 14.6% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 30.8% | 26.5% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 10.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 12.4% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Reiss | 12.4% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Aulthouse | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 20.4% | 27.4% | 14.0% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Hayes | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 18.5% | 29.4% | 15.0% | 3.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Oczeretko | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 6.3% | 21.7% | 67.8% | 0.0% |
| Jessie Miller | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 5.1% | 14.7% | 47.9% | 27.5% | 0.0% |
| Calyn O'Connell | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 12.7% | 43.8% | 24.1% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.