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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.94+1.67vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.29+4.42vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.68+2.38vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College1.73+4.09vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.50+3.62vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-1.91vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.50-1.12vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University1.95-0.69vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.64-0.53vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia3.01-5.43vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.39+1.06vs Predicted
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12Penn State University0.21+0.48vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.20-0.54vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-0.23-0.33vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University0.06-2.22vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.29-2.26vs Predicted
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17Columbia University-0.51-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67U. S. Naval Academy3.940.3%1st Place
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6.42Washington College2.290.1%1st Place
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5.38University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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8.09Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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8.62Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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4.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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5.88Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.31Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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8.47Villanova University1.640.0%1st Place
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4.57University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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12.06Christopher Newport University0.390.0%1st Place
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12.48Penn State University0.210.0%1st Place
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12.46Drexel University0.200.0%1st Place
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13.67University of Delaware-0.230.0%1st Place
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12.78Rutgers University0.060.0%1st Place
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13.74University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.290.0%1st Place
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14.31Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Lopez | 32.7% | 23.2% | 16.7% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gene Merewether | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Liberty | 14.7% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Szekalski | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Stessing | 11.8% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Gore | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
| Jarrett Scherrer | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 7.6% |
| Trevor Nederlof | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% |
| Adrian Sawyer | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 18.6% |
| Dylan Richardson | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 12.5% | 10.7% |
| Andrew Swanson | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 20.3% |
| Michael Kahn | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 20.3% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.