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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Amherst College0.89+0.76vs Predicted
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2Brandeis University-0.85+1.15vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.92+0.21vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.65-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Amherst College0.890.5%1st Place
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3.15Brandeis University-0.850.1%1st Place
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3.21McGill University-0.920.1%1st Place
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1.89Middlebury College0.650.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Brayer | 45.5% | 36.6% | 14.7% | 3.2% |
| Michael Partridge | 7.8% | 13.0% | 35.8% | 43.4% |
| Kevin Wilkinson | 8.7% | 10.9% | 31.3% | 49.1% |
| Felix Wimmer | 38.0% | 39.5% | 18.2% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.