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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Amherst College0.89+0.70vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.65-0.07vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.92+0.21vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University-0.85-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7Amherst College0.890.5%1st Place
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1.93Middlebury College0.650.3%1st Place
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3.21McGill University-0.920.1%1st Place
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3.16Brandeis University-0.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Brayer | 49.2% | 34.8% | 12.5% | 3.5% |
| Felix Wimmer | 34.6% | 42.6% | 18.0% | 4.8% |
| Kevin Wilkinson | 8.8% | 10.3% | 31.8% | 49.1% |
| Michael Partridge | 7.4% | 12.3% | 37.7% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.