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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brandeis University-0.85+2.16vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.65-0.08vs Predicted
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3Amherst College0.89-1.25vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.92-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Brandeis University-0.850.1%1st Place
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1.92Middlebury College0.650.4%1st Place
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1.75Amherst College0.890.5%1st Place
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3.18McGill University-0.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Partridge | 8.7% | 12.9% | 32.5% | 45.9% |
| Felix Wimmer | 36.4% | 40.1% | 18.9% | 4.6% |
| Noah Brayer | 47.5% | 34.1% | 14.3% | 4.1% |
| Kevin Wilkinson | 7.4% | 12.9% | 34.3% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.