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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Amherst College0.89+0.75vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.92+1.21vs Predicted
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3Brandeis University-0.85+0.16vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.65-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Amherst College0.890.5%1st Place
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3.21McGill University-0.920.1%1st Place
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3.16Brandeis University-0.850.1%1st Place
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1.88Middlebury College0.650.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Brayer | 45.9% | 36.5% | 14.6% | 3.0% |
| Kevin Wilkinson | 7.1% | 11.5% | 34.2% | 47.2% |
| Michael Partridge | 8.9% | 11.9% | 33.8% | 45.4% |
| Felix Wimmer | 38.1% | 40.1% | 17.4% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.