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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Amherst College0.89+0.69vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.65-0.06vs Predicted
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3Brandeis University-0.85+0.16vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.92-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.69Amherst College0.890.5%1st Place
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1.94Middlebury College0.650.3%1st Place
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3.16Brandeis University-0.850.1%1st Place
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3.21McGill University-0.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Brayer | 49.6% | 34.9% | 12.2% | 3.3% |
| Felix Wimmer | 34.5% | 42.1% | 18.6% | 4.8% |
| Michael Partridge | 9.1% | 11.3% | 34.2% | 45.4% |
| Kevin Wilkinson | 6.8% | 11.7% | 35.0% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.