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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College0.65+0.89vs Predicted
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2Amherst College0.89-0.27vs Predicted
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3Brandeis University-0.85+0.18vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.92-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89Middlebury College0.650.4%1st Place
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1.73Amherst College0.890.5%1st Place
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3.18Brandeis University-0.850.1%1st Place
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3.2McGill University-0.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felix Wimmer | 37.3% | 41.0% | 17.1% | 4.6% |
| Noah Brayer | 47.3% | 35.9% | 13.8% | 3.0% |
| Michael Partridge | 8.6% | 10.6% | 34.9% | 45.9% |
| Kevin Wilkinson | 6.8% | 12.5% | 34.2% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.