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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel-0.27+3.62vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.52+1.00vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.27+1.47vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-0.11+0.23vs Predicted
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5University of Tennessee-1.90+3.03vs Predicted
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6Duke University0.06-2.04vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.92-1.27vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-0.56-1.64vs Predicted
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9-2.02-0.77vs Predicted
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10Auburn University-2.06-2.54vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-3.14-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62The Citadel-0.2712.0%1st Place
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3.0Clemson University0.5225.7%1st Place
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4.47North Carolina State University-0.2711.6%1st Place
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4.23University of South Carolina-0.1114.0%1st Place
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8.03University of Tennessee-1.902.2%1st Place
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3.96Duke University0.0614.9%1st Place
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5.73University of North Carolina-0.927.9%1st Place
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6.36Georgia Institute of Technology-0.565.6%1st Place
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8.23-2.022.1%1st Place
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7.46Auburn University-2.063.5%1st Place
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9.91University of Georgia-3.140.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradlee Anderson | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Luke Adams | 25.7% | 23.2% | 17.1% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Lubliner | 11.6% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Molly Loring | 14.0% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Shrewsbury | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 18.7% | 21.9% | 13.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 14.9% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emma Gumny | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 2.4% |
| Jim Wang | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 25.8% | 15.6% |
| Liam Dunn | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 20.0% | 17.8% | 6.8% |
| Jack Whittemore | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 60.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.