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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College0.65+0.89vs Predicted
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2Amherst College0.89-0.27vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.92+0.24vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University-0.85-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89Middlebury College0.650.4%1st Place
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1.73Amherst College0.890.5%1st Place
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3.24McGill University-0.920.1%1st Place
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3.14Brandeis University-0.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felix Wimmer | 37.1% | 41.2% | 17.3% | 4.4% |
| Noah Brayer | 47.1% | 36.1% | 13.6% | 3.2% |
| Kevin Wilkinson | 8.2% | 9.5% | 32.6% | 49.7% |
| Michael Partridge | 7.6% | 13.2% | 36.5% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.