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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College-0.59+1.60vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.21-0.10vs Predicted
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3Amherst College-1.32+0.27vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University-0.20-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Middlebury College-0.590.2%1st Place
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1.9McGill University0.210.4%1st Place
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3.27Amherst College-1.320.1%1st Place
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2.23Brandeis University-0.200.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan Stanley | 19.5% | 23.4% | 34.5% | 22.6% |
| Maddy Crowley | 42.0% | 33.1% | 18.2% | 6.7% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 9.5% | 10.8% | 22.5% | 57.2% |
| Karina Wagenpfeil | 29.0% | 32.7% | 24.8% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.