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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.21+0.86vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-0.59+0.64vs Predicted
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3Brandeis University-0.20-0.75vs Predicted
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4Amherst College-1.32-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86McGill University0.210.4%1st Place
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2.64Middlebury College-0.590.2%1st Place
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2.25Brandeis University-0.200.3%1st Place
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3.25Amherst College-1.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddy Crowley | 44.2% | 32.4% | 16.3% | 7.1% |
| Stefan Stanley | 18.7% | 22.9% | 33.8% | 24.6% |
| Karina Wagenpfeil | 28.3% | 32.9% | 24.6% | 14.2% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 8.8% | 11.8% | 25.3% | 54.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.