← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1McGill University0.21+0.87vs Predicted
-
2Amherst College-1.32+1.28vs Predicted
-
3Middlebury College-0.59-0.35vs Predicted
-
4Brandeis University-0.20-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.87McGill University0.210.4%1st Place
-
3.28Amherst College-1.320.1%1st Place
-
2.65Middlebury College-0.590.2%1st Place
-
2.21Brandeis University-0.200.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddy Crowley | 44.7% | 30.2% | 18.9% | 6.2% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 8.9% | 13.1% | 19.5% | 58.5% |
| Stefan Stanley | 17.6% | 24.2% | 34.2% | 24.0% |
| Karina Wagenpfeil | 28.8% | 32.5% | 27.4% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.