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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Luke Adams 27.2% 21.9% 18.4% 12.3% 8.4% 6.0% 3.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Oscar Lubliner 12.6% 12.6% 12.4% 13.5% 14.0% 11.9% 9.6% 7.6% 4.0% 1.6% 0.2%
Ian Hoogenboom 16.8% 17.0% 14.0% 15.7% 12.3% 10.2% 6.9% 4.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Emma Gumny 6.3% 7.1% 8.8% 10.1% 10.9% 14.2% 15.0% 13.2% 8.2% 4.6% 1.5%
Molly Loring 11.8% 14.6% 15.2% 14.8% 14.1% 12.2% 8.2% 5.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.2%
Liam Dunn 3.0% 4.0% 3.6% 4.3% 6.0% 7.3% 11.8% 16.1% 18.9% 17.0% 7.9%
Kaitlyn Bagnoni 5.7% 5.7% 7.3% 7.6% 9.9% 10.0% 14.1% 15.2% 13.5% 8.9% 2.2%
Bradlee Anderson 11.2% 11.4% 13.4% 13.2% 12.8% 13.0% 11.1% 8.1% 4.1% 1.4% 0.2%
Kyle Shrewsbury 2.6% 2.2% 3.1% 3.7% 5.5% 6.3% 8.9% 11.8% 19.6% 24.3% 11.8%
Jim Wang 2.1% 2.6% 2.7% 3.5% 4.2% 6.2% 7.8% 11.7% 19.4% 26.2% 13.7%
Jack Whittemore 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 1.8% 2.5% 3.0% 4.3% 8.2% 14.3% 62.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.