Race 10 - mcgill-cup | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.1

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Maddy Crowley & Emilie Macfie

McGill University

0.21

+0.87

vs Predicted
2

Amelia Vinciguerra & Jacob Cunningham

Amherst College

-1.32

+1.27

vs Predicted
3

Karina Wagenpfeil & Erin Skeens

Brandeis University

-0.20

-0.73

vs Predicted
4

Stefan Stanley & Nathaniel Wiener

Middlebury College

-0.59

-1.41

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.87

Maddy Crowley & Emilie Macfie

McGill University

0.21

0.4%

1st Place
3.27

Amelia Vinciguerra & Jacob Cunningham

Amherst College

-1.32

0.1%

1st Place
2.27

Karina Wagenpfeil & Erin Skeens

Brandeis University

-0.20

0.3%

1st Place
2.59

Stefan Stanley & Nathaniel Wiener

Middlebury College

-0.59

0.2%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Maddy Crowley	44.6%	30.4%	18.4%	6.6%
Amelia Vinciguerra	8.7%	11.8%	23.1%	56.4%
Karina Wagenpfeil	28.0%	31.9%	25.5%	14.6%
Stefan Stanley	18.7%	25.9%	33.0%	22.4%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.