← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University4.19+6.61vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University4.36+4.93vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.88+6.06vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin3.36+7.36vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University4.26+2.59vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College3.25+5.67vs Predicted
-
7Yale University4.55-0.75vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University3.49+2.99vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.65+0.75vs Predicted
-
10University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.11vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.42vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University3.82-2.45vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-4.46vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College2.80-0.23vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University2.77-1.48vs Predicted
-
16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-4.62vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont3.51-6.42vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University3.73-8.58vs Predicted
-
19Harvard University3.49-8.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.61Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
-
6.93Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
9.06Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
-
11.36University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
-
7.59Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
-
11.67SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
-
6.25Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
10.99George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
-
9.75College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
-
12.11University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
-
9.58U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
9.55Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
8.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
-
13.77Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
-
13.52Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
-
11.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
-
10.58University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
-
9.42Tufts University3.730.0%1st Place
-
10.32Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% |
| Olin Paine | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.3% |
| Graham Landy | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% |
| Mary Hall | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 20.6% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 21.4% |
| Elliott Morrill | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 5.7% |
| OJ O'Connell | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.