← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University4.19+6.62vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.55+4.24vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.73+6.76vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University4.36+2.88vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College2.80+8.97vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.65+3.92vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+1.90vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.88+1.21vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University4.26-1.84vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Maritime College3.25+1.65vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University3.49-0.33vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University3.82-2.41vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy3.74-3.67vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-2.42vs Predicted
-
15University of Wisconsin3.36-3.89vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University3.49-5.46vs Predicted
-
17Cornell University2.77-3.30vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania3.16-5.97vs Predicted
-
19University of Vermont3.51-8.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.62Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
-
6.24Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
9.76Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
6.88Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
13.97Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
-
9.92College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
-
9.21Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
-
7.16Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
-
11.65SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
-
10.67Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
-
9.59Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
9.33U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
11.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
-
11.11University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
-
10.54George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
-
13.7Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
-
12.03University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
-
10.14University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Graham Landy | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 19.9% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Olin Paine | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Mary Hall | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% |
| Elliott Morrill | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Duncan Howes | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 21.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% |
| OJ O'Connell | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.