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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+5.94vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+4.22vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.36+8.38vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.73+5.64vs Predicted
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5Fordham University4.26+2.53vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+2.83vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.65+3.02vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.49+2.94vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.88-0.24vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.74-0.51vs Predicted
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11Stanford University4.19-3.46vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.25+0.17vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.51-2.62vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.82-4.66vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.80-1.60vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-4.68vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania3.16-4.88vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.77-4.27vs Predicted
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19Harvard University3.49-8.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.22Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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11.38University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University3.730.0%1st Place
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7.53Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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8.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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10.02College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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10.94George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.76Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.54Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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12.17SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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9.34Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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13.4Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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11.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
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12.12University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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13.73Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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10.25Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 8.1% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Graham Landy | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Olin Paine | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Mary Hall | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Hill | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% |
| OJ O'Connell | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 21.1% |
| Elliott Morrill | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 9.8% |
| Duncan Howes | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 20.4% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.