← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University4.36+5.81vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College2.80+11.15vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.65+5.72vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin3.36+5.54vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University3.49+4.01vs Predicted
-
7Yale University4.55-1.18vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University3.73+1.12vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College3.25+2.06vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.88-1.56vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University4.26-3.79vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University2.43+2.26vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University3.49-2.49vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-5.75vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania3.16-3.84vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy3.74-6.99vs Predicted
-
17Stanford University4.19-9.77vs Predicted
-
18University of Vermont3.51-7.82vs Predicted
-
19Old Dominion University3.82-10.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.81Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
13.15Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
-
9.72College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
-
10.54University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
-
10.01George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
-
5.82Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
9.12Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
11.06SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
-
8.44Brown University3.880.0%1st Place
-
7.21Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
-
14.26Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
-
10.51Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
-
8.25St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
-
11.16University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
-
9.01U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
7.23Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
-
10.18University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
-
8.51Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 17.4% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% |
| Graham Landy | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% |
| Pearson Potts | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% |
| Olin Paine | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 16.2% | 33.1% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 4.8% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% |
| Mary Hall | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% |
| Kieran Chung | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| OJ O'Connell | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.