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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.88+7.69vs Predicted
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2Fordham University4.26+5.08vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.73+5.37vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.25+6.04vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.65+3.37vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.80+5.92vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.49+2.13vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.55-3.27vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.49+0.09vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.63vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University4.36-5.37vs Predicted
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13Stanford University4.19-5.40vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.36-3.48vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania3.16-3.83vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.82-7.34vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-8.64vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.51-7.79vs Predicted
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19Cornell University2.43-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.69Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.08Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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9.37Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.04SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.37College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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12.92Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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10.13George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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5.73Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.09Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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6.63Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.6Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.52University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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8.66Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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10.21University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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14.07Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson Potts | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Olin Paine | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 19.6% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Graham Landy | 13.3% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Mary Hall | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.9% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| OJ O'Connell | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 15.7% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.