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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University4.26+6.17vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.49+8.39vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.73+6.31vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.36+6.51vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.25+5.92vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.36+0.51vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.80+5.86vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.51+2.03vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.65+0.41vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.49+0.44vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.55-5.03vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-3.26vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.88-4.67vs Predicted
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15Stanford University4.19-8.07vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.82-7.32vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.43-2.77vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.74-8.74vs Predicted
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19University of Pennsylvania3.16-7.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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10.39Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.31Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.51University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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10.92SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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6.51Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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12.86Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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10.03University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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9.41College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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10.44George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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5.97Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.33Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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6.93Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.68Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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14.23Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.31University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olin Paine | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 15.9% | 17.7% |
| OJ O'Connell | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% |
| Graham Landy | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Kieran Chung | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Thomas Balk | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 33.1% |
| Mary Hall | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.