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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+5.78vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.73+7.42vs Predicted
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3Fordham University4.26+4.13vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+1.82vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+3.36vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.65+3.54vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.49+3.19vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.51+2.00vs Predicted
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9Stanford University4.19-1.86vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.36+1.02vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.25+0.34vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.48vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.88-4.60vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.82-5.50vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.77-2.00vs Predicted
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16George Washington University3.49-5.71vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania3.16-6.27vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College2.80-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.42Tufts University3.730.0%1st Place
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7.13Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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5.82Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.54College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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10.19Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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10.0University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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7.14Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.02University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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11.34SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.52U. S. Naval Academy3.740.0%1st Place
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8.4Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.5Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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13.0Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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10.29George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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11.73University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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12.78Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Olin Paine | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Graham Landy | 12.9% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
| OJ O'Connell | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% |
| Kieran Chung | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% |
| Mary Hall | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 20.5% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.3% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.