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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University0.06+2.99vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.52+0.90vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina-0.11+1.20vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.92+1.99vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.56+1.39vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.27-1.46vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.27-2.42vs Predicted
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8Auburn University-2.06-0.70vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-1.90-0.96vs Predicted
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10-2.02-1.83vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-3.14-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Duke University0.0615.7%1st Place
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2.9Clemson University0.5227.3%1st Place
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4.2University of South Carolina-0.1115.4%1st Place
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5.99University of North Carolina-0.925.6%1st Place
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6.39Georgia Institute of Technology-0.565.0%1st Place
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4.54North Carolina State University-0.2712.0%1st Place
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4.58The Citadel-0.2711.6%1st Place
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7.3Auburn University-2.062.9%1st Place
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8.04University of Tennessee-1.901.8%1st Place
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8.17-2.021.9%1st Place
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9.9University of Georgia-3.140.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hoogenboom | 15.7% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Luke Adams | 27.3% | 22.9% | 17.5% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Loring | 15.4% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Emma Gumny | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 2.4% |
| Oscar Lubliner | 12.0% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 11.6% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Liam Dunn | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 6.9% |
| Kyle Shrewsbury | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 18.9% | 22.3% | 13.8% |
| Jim Wang | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 19.2% | 24.9% | 14.0% |
| Jack Whittemore | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 16.4% | 60.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.