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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.94+1.69vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+2.00vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.68+2.42vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.29+2.46vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College1.73+3.01vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University0.06+6.95vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia3.01-2.40vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University1.95-0.67vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.64-0.57vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.50-4.18vs Predicted
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11Princeton University1.50-2.25vs Predicted
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12Penn State University0.21+0.48vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.39-1.03vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-0.23-0.39vs Predicted
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15Columbia University-0.51-0.82vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.20-3.52vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.29-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69U. S. Naval Academy3.940.3%1st Place
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4.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.2%1st Place
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5.42University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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6.46Washington College2.290.1%1st Place
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8.01Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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12.95Rutgers University0.060.0%1st Place
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4.6University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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7.33Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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8.43Villanova University1.640.0%1st Place
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5.82Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.75Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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12.48Penn State University0.210.0%1st Place
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11.97Christopher Newport University0.390.0%1st Place
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13.61University of Delaware-0.230.0%1st Place
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14.18Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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12.48Drexel University0.200.0%1st Place
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13.83University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Lopez | 31.8% | 24.1% | 16.2% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Liberty | 15.8% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Richardson | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 12.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 11.4% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Szekalski | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gene Merewether | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jarrett Scherrer | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 7.2% |
| Maggie Gore | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% |
| Adrian Sawyer | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 17.4% |
| Michael Kahn | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 17.9% | 28.5% |
| Trevor Nederlof | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% |
| Andrew Swanson | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 19.3% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.