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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+8.42vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+4.69vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.88+5.76vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.25+7.06vs Predicted
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5Fordham University4.26+1.99vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.65+3.55vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.55-1.14vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.07vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.51+1.10vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.49+0.43vs Predicted
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11Stanford University4.19-3.66vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-3.19vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.49-2.98vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.82-5.51vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.36-4.31vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.80-2.92vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania3.16-5.31vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.77-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.42Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.69Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.76Brown University3.880.0%1st Place
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11.06SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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6.99Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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9.55College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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5.86Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.1University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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10.43George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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7.34Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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10.02Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.49Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.69University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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13.08Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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11.69University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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12.94Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Nevin Snow | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Pearson Potts | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% |
| Olin Paine | 9.8% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Graham Landy | 11.6% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mary Hall | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% |
| OJ O'Connell | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 21.7% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.