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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.49+9.67vs Predicted
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2Fordham University4.26+5.28vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+6.67vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.16+8.15vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.82+4.38vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.80+7.31vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+1.78vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.51+2.77vs Predicted
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9Stanford University4.19-1.64vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.25+1.59vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.36-4.24vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.73-2.02vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.88-4.38vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.65-3.94vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.55-8.92vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-4.74vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.49-6.40vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.43-3.09vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin3.36-8.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.67George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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7.28Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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9.67U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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12.15University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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9.38Old Dominion University3.820.0%1st Place
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13.31Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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8.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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10.77University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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7.36Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.59SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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6.76Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.98Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.62Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.06College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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6.08Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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11.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
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10.6Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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14.91Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Shanahan | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Olin Paine | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mary Hall | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 19.5% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| OJ O'Connell | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Kieran Chung | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 6.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Graham Landy | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Thomas Balk | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 30.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.